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DownDown
pspspsps5CTR<$100DownUpUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$16
Combined PnL
-$24.4
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares167
Combined PnL-$30.1
Up2 traders
Total Value$16
Total Shares16
Combined PnL+$5.7
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5¢ | $2.05 | — | -$2.05 | 48% 23092-25227 (48319) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 45¢ | $26.55 | — | -$26.55 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 6¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 46% 37929-44598 (82527) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $7.9 | $10 | +$2.1 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 40¢ | $2.4 | $6 | +$3.6 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$2.05
Value
—
PnL
-$2.05
Record
48%
23092-25227 (48319)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$26.55
Value
—
PnL
-$26.55
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
46%
37929-44598 (82527)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$7.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$2.1
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$2.4
Value
$6
PnL
+$3.6
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x1ab040dc...20a3b8
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793226300