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DownUp
MayorMamdani<$100UpDownDown
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Up
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 60%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$233.15
Combined PnL
-$46.52
Smart Money Signal
Up
3 of 5 top traders (60%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$104.22
Total Shares104
Combined PnL-$16.35
Down2 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares41
Combined PnL-$30.17
Up — 60%Down — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 19.6¢ | $71.92 | $128.94 | +$57.01 | 51% 6912-6596 (13508) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 19.6¢ | $37.63 | — | -$37.63 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 26.6¢ | $34.3 | $128.94 | +$94.64 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 97.8¢ | $87.99 | $61.78 | -$26.21 | 65% 124383-66536 (190919) |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 60.7¢ | $26.7 | $32.3 | +$5.6 | 55% 44215-36703 (80918) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 61.4¢ | $12.65 | — | -$12.65 | 55% 17378-14015 (31393) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 87.6¢ | $17.52 | — | -$17.52 | 64% 21886-12047 (33933) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 58¢ | $5.88 | $10.14 | +$4.26 | 63% 51325-30204 (81529) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$71.92
Value
$128.94
PnL
+$57.01
Record
51%
6912-6596 (13508)
Both legs:
Down$37.6319.6¢-$37.63
Up$34.326.6¢+$94.64
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$87.99
Value
$61.78
PnL
-$26.21
Record
65%
124383-66536 (190919)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$26.7
Value
$32.3
PnL
+$5.6
Record
55%
44215-36703 (80918)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$12.65
Value
—
PnL
-$12.65
Record
55%
17378-14015 (31393)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$17.52
Value
—
PnL
-$17.52
Record
64%
21886-12047 (33933)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$5.88
Value
$10.14
PnL
+$4.26
Record
63%
51325-30204 (81529)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x746136da...8586ec
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793225100