Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET

Resolved Up. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Down 56%

Total Value

$111.12

Combined PnL

-$37.75

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders

Total Value$111.12

Total Shares111

Combined PnL+$11.8

Down5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares432

Combined PnL-$49.56

Up — 44%Down — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2<$100	Upavg 87.2¢	$70.71	$81.12	+$10.4	51% 6912-6596 (13508)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Downavg 11.4¢	$34.19	—	-$34.19	48% 23092-25227 (48319)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Downavg 50¢	$21.5	—	-$21.5	58% 37423-26662 (64085)
AS asdaefef<$100	Upavg 99¢	$14.85	$15	+$0.15	66% 124717-64207 (188924)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Upavg 88.5¢	$8.85	$10	+$1.15	55% 17378-14015 (31393)
AS asidjasiodja<$100	Upavg 98¢	$4.9	$5	+$0.1	61% 94062-59155 (153217)
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100	Downavg 7.4¢	$2.4	—	-$1.98	65% 124383-66536 (190919)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Downavg 3.4¢	$2.03	—	-$2.03	46% 37929-44598 (82527)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 8¢	$47.62	—	+$10.14	64% 21886-12047 (33933)

Invested

$70.71

Value

$81.12

PnL

+$10.4

Record

51%

6912-6596 (13508)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$34.19

Value

—

PnL

-$34.19

Record

48%

23092-25227 (48319)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$21.5

Value

—

PnL

-$21.5

Record

58%

37423-26662 (64085)

Invested

$14.85

Value

$15

PnL

+$0.15

Record

66%

124717-64207 (188924)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$8.85

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.15

Record

55%

17378-14015 (31393)

asidjasiodja<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.1

Record

61%

94062-59155 (153217)

drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100

Invested

$2.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.98

Record

65%

124383-66536 (190919)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$2.03

Value

—

PnL

-$2.03

Record

46%

37929-44598 (82527)

Invested

$47.62

Value

—

PnL

+$10.14

Record

64%

21886-12047 (33933)

Smart Money Signal

Down

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0xa812e76b...bf4b1f

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793224200

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $81.12

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Down — $0

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $0

asdaefef

Up — $15

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $10

asidjasiodja

Up — $5

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $0

pspspsps5

Down — $0

aaa221

Down — $0

Trade on Polymarket