Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 64%
$40.17
-$48.27
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 36.8¢ | $43.99 | — | -$43.99 | 51% 6891-6570 (13461) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $2.74 | — | -$2.73 | 46% 37909-44573 (82482) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 79¢ | $14.78 | $18.3 | +$3.53 | 65% 21845-12018 (33863) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.21 | — | -$1.21 | 59% 62001-43068 (105069) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 52% 89477-83931 (173408) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 89.9¢ | $11.69 | $13 | +$1.31 | 65% 124345-66513 (190858) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $3.65 | — | -$3.65 | 61% 94030-59124 (153154) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $2.04 | — | -$2.04 | 63% 51314-30185 (81499) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 24¢ | $1.3 | $5.42 | +$4.12 | 55% 17349-13981 (31330) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 21¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 66% 124678-64187 (188865) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $1.45 | $3.45 | +$2 | 58% 37406-26644 (64050) |
Invested
$43.99
Value
—
PnL
-$43.99
Record
51%
6891-6570 (13461)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.74
Value
—
PnL
-$2.73
Record
46%
37909-44573 (82482)
Invested
$14.78
Value
$18.3
PnL
+$3.53
Record
65%
21845-12018 (33863)
Invested
$1.21
Value
—
PnL
-$1.21
Record
59%
62001-43068 (105069)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
52%
89477-83931 (173408)
Invested
$11.69
Value
$13
PnL
+$1.31
Record
65%
124345-66513 (190858)
Invested
$3.65
Value
—
PnL
-$3.65
Record
61%
94030-59124 (153154)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$2.04
Value
—
PnL
-$2.04
Record
63%
51314-30185 (81499)
Invested
$1.3
Value
$5.42
PnL
+$4.12
Record
55%
17349-13981 (31330)
Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
66%
124678-64187 (188865)
Invested
$1.45
Value
$3.45
PnL
+$2
Record
58%
37406-26644 (64050)
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