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Up
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownUpDownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$46.16
Combined PnL
$6.8
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$46.16
Total Shares46
Combined PnL+$9.92
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares43
Combined PnL-$3.12
Up — 40%Down — 60%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 77.4¢ | $25.35 | $30.59 | +$5.25 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.78 | — | -$0.78 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 70¢ | $10.9 | $15.57 | +$4.67 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.26 | — | -$1.26 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 13¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$25.35
Value
$30.59
PnL
+$5.25
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.78
Value
—
PnL
-$0.78
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$10.9
Value
$15.57
PnL
+$4.67
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.26
Value
—
PnL
-$1.26
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xdbb61803...2d5e28
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793215500