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UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$71.14
Combined PnL
-$3.83
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up3 traders
Total Value$71.14
Total Shares71
Combined PnL+$2.2
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares50
Combined PnL-$6.03
Up — 43%Down — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 93.1¢ | $26.29 | $28.23 | +$1.94 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 82.3¢ | $12.95 | $12.91 | -$0.04 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.35 | — | -$1.35 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.14 | — | -$1.14 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Downavg 11.5¢ | $3.48 | — | -$3.48 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 59% 61993-43042 (105035) |
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$26.29
Value
$28.23
PnL
+$1.94
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$12.95
Value
$12.91
PnL
-$0.04
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.35
Value
—
PnL
-$1.35
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
—
PnL
-$1.14
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$3.48
Value
—
PnL
-$3.48
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
59%
61993-43042 (105035)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x85b0e2ac...8638c1
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793215200