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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET

Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 70%

Total Value

$78.78

Combined PnL

-$2.11

Smart Money Signal

Up

7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down3 traders
Total Value$78.78
Total Shares79
Combined PnL+$6.32
Up7 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares88
Combined PnL-$8.42
Down — 30%Up — 70%
PL
ply-pm2<$100
Down

Invested

$50.26

Value

$38.78

PnL

-$11.48

Record

51%

6853-6542 (13395)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.06

Value

—

PnL

-$1.06

Record

59%

61993-43042 (105035)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$15.3

Value

$30

PnL

+$14.7

Record

65%

124308-66488 (190796)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

55%

17309-13927 (31236)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Down

Invested

$6.9

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.1

Record

58%

60135-43896 (104031)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.08

Value

—

PnL

-$1.08

Record

61%

93995-59086 (153081)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.12

Value

—

PnL

-$1.12

Record

52%

89438-83891 (173329)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.51

Value

—

PnL

-$0.51

Record

46%

37893-44550 (82443)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

66%

124638-64161 (188799)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.32

Value

—

PnL

-$0.32

Record

62%

43590-26534 (70124)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xe6862f56...8cd7fc
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793214900

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

Down — $38.78

-$11.48
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.06
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $30

+$14.7
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.8
0X

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down — $10

+$3.1
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.08
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.12

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.51
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.54

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.32
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