Back to Markets

Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 60%

Total Value

$82.93

Combined PnL

-$39.67

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares280

Combined PnL-$44.59

Down4 traders

Total Value$82.93

Total Shares83

Combined PnL+$4.92

Up — 60%Down — 40%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100	Upavg 9.6¢	$8.29	—	-$8.29	51% 6853-6542 (13395)
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 90.7¢	$38.41	$42.34	+$3.93	65% 21769-11955 (33724)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 93.9¢	$27.72	$29.52	+$1.8	65% 124308-66488 (190796)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 12.4¢	$11.72	—	-$11.72	46% 37893-44550 (82443)
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100	Upavg 60¢	$17.93	—	-$17.93	56% 57606-44494 (102100)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100	Upavg 6¢	$4.2	—	-$4.2	63% 51258-30160 (81418)
AS asdaefef<$100	Downavg 86¢	$7.43	$6.07	-$1.36	66% 124638-64161 (188799)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 16.2¢	$1.05	—	-$1.05	61% 93995-59086 (153081)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 26¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	52% 89438-83891 (173329)
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100	Downavg 89¢	$4.45	$5	+$0.55	55% 17309-13927 (31236)

ply-pm2CTR<$100

Invested

$8.29

Value

—

PnL

-$8.29

Record

51%

6853-6542 (13395)

Invested

$38.41

Value

$42.34

PnL

+$3.93

Record

65%

21769-11955 (33724)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$27.72

Value

$29.52

PnL

+$1.8

Record

65%

124308-66488 (190796)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$11.72

Value

—

PnL

-$11.72

Record

46%

37893-44550 (82443)

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100

Invested

$17.93

Value

—

PnL

-$17.93

Record

56%

57606-44494 (102100)

UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100

Invested

$4.2

Value

—

PnL

-$4.2

Record

63%

51258-30160 (81418)

Invested

$7.43

Value

$6.07

PnL

-$1.36

Record

66%

124638-64161 (188799)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.05

Value

—

PnL

-$1.05

Record

61%

93995-59086 (153081)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

52%

89438-83891 (173329)

Kathod-Shi-14<$100

Invested

$4.45

Value

$5

PnL

+$0.55

Record

55%

17309-13927 (31236)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Sign in with your wallet to post.

Market Info

Condition ID

0x7ecdc785...89466e

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793214300

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Up — $0

aaa221

Down — $42.34

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $29.52

pspspsps5

Up — $0

0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530

Up — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $0

asdaefef

Down — $6.07

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Down — $5

Trade on Polymarket