Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Up 64%
$64.32
-$21.63
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 80.3¢ | $21.51 | $21.32 | -$0.19 | 51% 6853-6542 (13395) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $20.55 | $20 | -$0.55 | 65% 124308-66488 (190796) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $14.83 | $13 | -$1.83 | 66% 124638-64161 (188799) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 10.7¢ | $8.32 | — | -$8.32 | 57% 69920-53118 (123038) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.1¢ | $7.92 | — | -$7.92 | 49% 77608-80954 (158562) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $9 | $10 | +$1 | 65% 21769-11955 (33724) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.8¢ | $0.11 | — | -$0.11 | 59% 61993-43042 (105035) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.2 | — | -$1.2 | 52% 89438-83891 (173329) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.2¢ | $0.9 | — | -$0.9 | 46% 37893-44550 (82443) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 63% 51258-30160 (81418) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 10¢ | $0.5 | — | -$0.5 | 61% 93995-59086 (153081) |
Invested
$21.51
Value
$21.32
PnL
-$0.19
Record
51%
6853-6542 (13395)
Invested
$20.55
Value
$20
PnL
-$0.55
Record
65%
124308-66488 (190796)
Invested
$14.83
Value
$13
PnL
-$1.83
Record
66%
124638-64161 (188799)
Invested
$8.32
Value
—
PnL
-$8.32
Record
57%
69920-53118 (123038)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.92
Value
—
PnL
-$7.92
Record
49%
77608-80954 (158562)
Invested
$9
Value
$10
PnL
+$1
Record
65%
21769-11955 (33724)
Invested
$0.11
Value
—
PnL
-$0.11
Record
59%
61993-43042 (105035)
Invested
$1.2
Value
—
PnL
-$1.2
Record
52%
89438-83891 (173329)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.9
Value
—
PnL
-$0.9
Record
46%
37893-44550 (82443)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
63%
51258-30160 (81418)
Invested
$0.5
Value
—
PnL
-$0.5
Record
61%
93995-59086 (153081)
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