Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
12
Up 50%
4 arb excluded
$1.3K
-$67.9
Smart Money Signal
6 of 12 top traders (50%)4 arbitrage traders dimmed6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 29.5Β’ | $236.98 | $267.45 | +$30.47 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 29.5Β’ | $126.34 | β | -$126.34 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 41.4Β’ | $110.64 | $267.45 | +$156.81 | |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 81.1Β’ | $604.5 | $301.99 | -$99.87 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 63.6Β’ | $246.1 | $377.89 | +$131.79 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530ARB<$100 | Upavg 63Β’ | $196 | $158.53 | -$37.47 | 56% 57594-44483 (102077) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 58Β’ | $96.05 | β | -$96.05 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 63Β’ | $99.95 | $158.53 | +$58.58 | |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025ARB<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $138.75 | $98.48 | -$40.27 | 58% 60123-43891 (104014) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50Β’ | $72.54 | β | -$72.54 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 67.2Β’ | $66.21 | $98.48 | +$32.28 | |
DV dvasdkasodkARB<$100 | Upavg 57.7Β’ | $68.28 | $66.9 | -$1.38 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 57.7Β’ | $38.62 | $66.9 | +$28.28 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 50.3Β’ | $29.66 | β | -$29.66 | |
![]() G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 35.2Β’ | $30.4 | β | -$30.4 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
![]() ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 37.9Β’ | $28.5 | β | -$28.5 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98.3Β’ | $29.5 | $30 | +$0.5 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
![]() BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Downavg 33.8Β’ | $16.91 | β | -$16.91 | 74% 102141-36314 (138455) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 74.7Β’ | $15.45 | $16.58 | +$1.13 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 40.3Β’ | $6.84 | $9.61 | +$2.77 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 45.1Β’ | $7.6 | β | -$7.6 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 9.2Β’ | $18.5 | β | -$18.5 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 29.5Β’ | $12.31 | β | -$12.31 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 56Β’ | $24.63 | $1.84 | +$10.01 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
Invested
$236.98
Value
$267.45
PnL
+$30.47
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
Both legs:
Invested
$604.5
Value
$301.99
PnL
-$99.87
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
Invested
$246.1
Value
$377.89
PnL
+$131.79
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$196
Value
$158.53
PnL
-$37.47
Record
56%
57594-44483 (102077)
Both legs:
Invested
$138.75
Value
$98.48
PnL
-$40.27
Record
58%
60123-43891 (104014)
Both legs:
Invested
$68.28
Value
$66.9
PnL
-$1.38
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Both legs:
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$30.4
Value
β
PnL
-$30.4
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$28.5
Value
β
PnL
-$28.5
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Invested
$29.5
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.5
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$16.91
Value
β
PnL
-$16.91
Record
74%
102141-36314 (138455)
Invested
$15.45
Value
$16.58
PnL
+$1.13
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$6.84
Value
$9.61
PnL
+$2.77
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
Invested
$7.6
Value
β
PnL
-$7.6
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$18.5
Value
β
PnL
-$18.5
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$12.31
Value
β
PnL
-$12.31
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$24.63
Value
$1.84
PnL
+$10.01
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up β $301.99
uninformedfloww
Up β $377.89
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530
ARBArbitrage β excluded
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
ARBArbitrage β excluded
dvasdkasodk
ARBArbitrage β excluded

G-Penis-Monster
CTRDown β $0

ohioism
CTRDown β $0
drfc4eybh7i8
Up β $30

BoneOhio
CTRDown β $0