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Down
OhioRiskManagement<$100UpUpUpDown
ohioismCTR<$100DownDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Down 57%
Total Value
$51.6
Combined PnL
$0.75
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart data…
Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares104
Combined PnL-$8.43
Up3 traders
Total Value$51.6
Total Shares52
Combined PnL+$9.19
Down — 57%Up — 43%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 48% 23069-25170 (48239) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 92.8¢ | $18.55 | $20 | +$1.45 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 74.5¢ | $12.32 | $16.54 | +$4.22 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 76.6¢ | $11.54 | $15.06 | +$3.52 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 22.6¢ | $4.65 | — | -$4.65 | 55% 17284-13893 (31177) |
ohioismCTR<$100 | Downavg 7¢ | $0.53 | — | -$0.53 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4¢ | $0.51 | — | -$0.51 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
48%
23069-25170 (48239)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$18.55
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.45
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$12.32
Value
$16.54
PnL
+$4.22
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$11.54
Value
$15.06
PnL
+$3.52
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100Invested
$4.65
Value
—
PnL
-$4.65
Record
55%
17284-13893 (31177)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$0.53
Value
—
PnL
-$0.53
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$0.51
Value
—
PnL
-$0.51
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x4474c203...aea83e
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793208900