Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 67%
$57.4
-$69.4
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.3¢ | $34.65 | — | -$34.65 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $2.01 | — | -$2.01 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 11¢ | $4.67 | $25 | +$20.33 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 88.7¢ | $30.17 | — | -$30.17 | 57% 69881-53093 (122974) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $28.14 | $16.4 | -$9.09 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $19.8 | $16 | -$3.8 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
 ohioismCTR<$100 | Upavg 62.7¢ | $8.54 | — | -$8.54 | 64% 39724-22691 (62415) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.3¢ | $0.45 | — | -$0.45 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 7¢ | $1.03 | — | -$1.03 | 63% 51234-30144 (81378) |
Invested
$34.65
Value
—
PnL
-$34.65
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2.01
Value
—
PnL
-$2.01
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$4.67
Value
$25
PnL
+$20.33
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$30.17
Value
—
PnL
-$30.17
Record
57%
69881-53093 (122974)
Invested
$28.14
Value
$16.4
PnL
-$9.09
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
Invested
$19.8
Value
$16
PnL
-$3.8
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
ohioismCTR<$100Invested
$8.54
Value
—
PnL
-$8.54
Record
64%
39724-22691 (62415)
Invested
$0.45
Value
—
PnL
-$0.45
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$1.03
Value
—
PnL
-$1.03
Record
63%
51234-30144 (81378)
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