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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$85.64

Combined PnL

-$6.68

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$85.64

Total Shares86

Combined PnL+$14.93

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares238

Combined PnL-$21.61

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
AA aaa221<$100	Downavg 94.2¢	$33.41	$35.47	+$2.06	65% 21722-11935 (33657)
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 53¢	$16.01	$25.17	+$9.16	51% 6829-6526 (13355)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100	Upavg 46¢	$14.61	—	-$14.61	58% 37375-26622 (63997)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 85.3¢	$15	$15	+$0	65% 124286-66473 (190759)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 63¢	$6.3	$10	+$3.7	57% 69881-53093 (122974)
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100	Upavg 18¢	$1.4	—	-$1.4	61% 93968-59068 (153036)
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100	Upavg 19.3¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	52% 89418-83862 (173280)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.3¢	$3.14	—	-$3.14	46% 37887-44532 (82419)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 2.3¢	$1.26	—	-$1.26	49% 77593-80930 (158523)

Invested

$33.41

Value

$35.47

PnL

+$2.06

Record

65%

21722-11935 (33657)

Invested

$16.01

Value

$25.17

PnL

+$9.16

Record

51%

6829-6526 (13355)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR<$100

Invested

$14.61

Value

—

PnL

-$14.61

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$15

Value

$15

PnL

+$0

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$6.3

Value

$10

PnL

+$3.7

Record

57%

69881-53093 (122974)

asidjasiodjaCTR<$100

Invested

$1.4

Value

—

PnL

-$1.4

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

dvasdkasodkCTR<$100

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

52%

89418-83862 (173280)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$3.14

Value

—

PnL

-$3.14

Record

46%

37887-44532 (82419)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$1.26

Value

—

PnL

-$1.26

Record

49%

77593-80930 (158523)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xced08b68...56a05c

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793207100

Traders in this Market

aaa221

Down — $35.47

ply-pm2

Down — $25.17

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Up — $0

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $15

uninformedfloww

Down — $10

asidjasiodja

Up — $0

dvasdkasodk

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

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