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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$99.05

Combined PnL

-$5.06

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$99.05
Total Shares99
Combined PnL+$9.97
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares82
Combined PnL-$15.03
Down — 45%Up — 55%
OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$33.99

Value

$39

PnL

+$5.01

Record

49%

77593-80930 (158523)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$17.4

Value

$20

PnL

+$2.6

Record

65%

124286-66473 (190759)

0X
0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518<$100
Down

Invested

$15.04

Value

$15.19

PnL

+$0.15

Record

58%

37375-26622 (63997)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$13.79

Value

$14.86

PnL

+$1.07

Record

65%

21722-11935 (33657)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.61

Value

—

PnL

-$3.61

Record

51%

6829-6526 (13355)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.17

Value

—

PnL

-$4.17

Record

55%

17284-13893 (31177)

AS
asdaefef<$100
Down

Invested

$8.86

Value

$10

PnL

+$1.14

Record

66%

124478-64082 (188560)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.8

Value

—

PnL

-$2.8

Record

46%

37887-44532 (82419)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.45

Value

—

PnL

-$1.45

Record

61%

93968-59068 (153036)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.65

Value

—

PnL

-$1.65

Record

52%

89418-83862 (173280)

0X
0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$1.35

Value

—

PnL

-$1.35

Record

56%

57594-44483 (102077)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0xc09bef7e...c92c92
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793206800

Traders in this Market

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $39

+$5.01
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $20

+$2.6
0X

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518

Down — $15.19

+$0.15
AA

aaa221

Down — $14.86

+$1.07
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.61
KA

Kathod-Shi-14

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.17
AS

asdaefef

Down — $10

+$1.14

pspspsps5

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.8
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.45
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$1.65
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