Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET
Resolved Up. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 56%
$49.86
-$41.2
Smart Money Signal
5 of 10 top traders (50%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 52.5¢ | $25.24 | — | -$25.24 | 51% 6829-6526 (13355) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 5¢ | $2 | — | -$2 | 62% 43587-26530 (70117) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.4¢ | $0.89 | — | -$0.89 | 59% 61979-43024 (105003) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 98¢ | $29.4 | $30 | +$0.6 | 65% 124286-66473 (190759) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 45.8¢ | $10.78 | — | -$10.78 | 49% 77593-80930 (158523) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.09 | $7 | -$2.09 | 61% 93968-59068 (153036) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $10.89 | $11 | +$0.11 | 52% 89418-83862 (173280) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 26¢ | $2.24 | — | -$2.24 | 66% 124478-64082 (188560) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 73¢ | $1.36 | $1.86 | +$0.5 | 46% 37887-44532 (82419) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $15.67 | $0.01 | +$0.83 | 65% 21722-11935 (33657) |
Invested
$25.24
Value
—
PnL
-$25.24
Record
51%
6829-6526 (13355)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$2
Value
—
PnL
-$2
Record
62%
43587-26530 (70117)
Invested
$0.89
Value
—
PnL
-$0.89
Record
59%
61979-43024 (105003)
Invested
$29.4
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.6
Record
65%
124286-66473 (190759)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$10.78
Value
—
PnL
-$10.78
Record
49%
77593-80930 (158523)
Invested
$9.09
Value
$7
PnL
-$2.09
Record
61%
93968-59068 (153036)
Invested
$10.89
Value
$11
PnL
+$0.11
Record
52%
89418-83862 (173280)
Invested
$2.24
Value
—
PnL
-$2.24
Record
66%
124478-64082 (188560)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.36
Value
$1.86
PnL
+$0.5
Record
46%
37887-44532 (82419)
Invested
$15.67
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$0.83
Record
65%
21722-11935 (33657)
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