Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Down 56%
$166.05
-$12.91
Smart Money Signal
6 of 10 top traders (60%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 84.9¢ | $50.91 | $60 | +$9.08 | 65% 21685-11906 (33591) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 93¢ | $56.01 | $49.99 | -$6.02 | 57% 69844-53054 (122898) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 64.8¢ | $27.88 | $26.61 | -$1.27 | 51% 6811-6496 (13307) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Upavg 94.5¢ | $27.84 | $29.45 | +$1.61 | 65% 124252-66451 (190703) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $3.01 | — | -$3.01 | 52% 89386-83832 (173218) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 42¢ | $3.36 | — | -$3.36 | 66% 124477-64080 (188557) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Downavg 2.5¢ | $1.74 | — | -$1.74 | 59% 61971-43014 (104985) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Downavg 4.1¢ | $1.75 | — | -$1.75 | 62% 43581-26510 (70091) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 18.4¢ | $6.45 | — | -$6.45 | 49% 77576-80896 (158472) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 3¢ | $0.01 | — | -$0.01 | 46% 37880-44497 (82377) |
Invested
$50.91
Value
$60
PnL
+$9.08
Record
65%
21685-11906 (33591)
Invested
$56.01
Value
$49.99
PnL
-$6.02
Record
57%
69844-53054 (122898)
Invested
$27.88
Value
$26.61
PnL
-$1.27
Record
51%
6811-6496 (13307)
Invested
$27.84
Value
$29.45
PnL
+$1.61
Record
65%
124252-66451 (190703)
Invested
$3.01
Value
—
PnL
-$3.01
Record
52%
89386-83832 (173218)
Invested
$3.36
Value
—
PnL
-$3.36
Record
66%
124477-64080 (188557)
Invested
$1.74
Value
—
PnL
-$1.74
Record
59%
61971-43014 (104985)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.75
Value
—
PnL
-$1.75
Record
62%
43581-26510 (70091)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$6.45
Value
—
PnL
-$6.45
Record
49%
77576-80896 (158472)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.01
Value
—
PnL
-$0.01
Record
46%
37880-44497 (82377)
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