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OhioRiskManagement<$100DownDownUpUpDownUpUp Trade on Polymarket
Consensus Lost β
Smart money consensus was Up β but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
π
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$88.03
Combined PnL
-$23.33
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
Loading chart dataβ¦
Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$88.03
Total Shares88
Combined PnL+$15.28
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares83
Combined PnL-$38.61
Down β 43%Up β 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
![]() OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 86.7Β’ | $59.89 | $67.67 | +$7.78 | 49% 77558-80867 (158425) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 51.8Β’ | $7.95 | $15.36 | +$7.41 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 35.7Β’ | $16.28 | β | -$16.28 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 60.4Β’ | $17.6 | β | -$17.6 | 57% 69807-53034 (122841) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 98Β’ | $4.9 | $5 | +$0.1 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 72Β’ | $3.6 | β | -$3.6 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 19Β’ | $1.14 | β | -$1.14 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$59.89
Value
$67.67
PnL
+$7.78
Record
49%
77558-80867 (158425)
KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100Invested
$7.95
Value
$15.36
PnL
+$7.41
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$16.28
Value
β
PnL
-$16.28
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$17.6
Value
β
PnL
-$17.6
Record
57%
69807-53034 (122841)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100Invested
$4.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$0.1
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$3.6
Value
β
PnL
-$3.6
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.14
Value
β
PnL
-$1.14
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0429c677...1b5cf9
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793199000