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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 67%

Total Value

$145.57

Combined PnL

-$76.26

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares237
Combined PnL-$128.06
Up4 traders
Total Value$145.57
Total Shares146
Combined PnL+$51.8
Down — 67%Up — 33%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$56.32

Value

—

PnL

-$56.32

Record

51%

6782-6478 (13260)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$18.03

Value

—

PnL

-$18.03

Record

49%

77558-80867 (158425)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Up

Invested

$72.08

Value

$55

PnL

-$17.08

Record

65%

124216-66433 (190649)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$30.65

Value

—

PnL

-$30.65

Record

57%

69807-53034 (122841)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

61%

93901-59012 (152913)

pspspsps5<$100
Up

Invested

$17.03

Value

$71.7

PnL

+$54.67

Record

46%

37870-44464 (82334)

G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.2

Value

—

PnL

-$0.2

Record

62%

43576-26505 (70081)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.1

Value

—

PnL

-$0.1

Record

66%

111557-57803 (169360)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$7.08

Value

—

PnL

-$7.08

Record

52%

89352-83806 (173158)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$11.87

Value

—

PnL

-$11.87

Record

65%

21630-11888 (33518)

KA
Kathod-Shi-14<$100
Up

Invested

$3.95

Value

$16.02

PnL

+$12.07

Record

55%

17218-13857 (31075)

0X
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100
Up

Invested

$0.71

Value

$2.85

PnL

+$2.14

Record

58%

60103-43871 (103974)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x74b3cf47...b3de76
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793196000

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$56.32

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$18.03
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Up — $55

-$17.08
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Down — $0

-$30.65
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.8

pspspsps5

Up — $71.7

+$54.67

G-Penis-Monster

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.2
AN

antsaslyku

CTR

Down — $0

-$0.1
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$7.08
AA

aaa221

CTR

Down — $0

-$11.87
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