Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET
Resolved Down. 78% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 78%
$40.32
-$55.65
Smart Money Signal
7 of 9 top traders (78%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 29.7¢ | $41.51 | — | -$41.51 | 51% 6782-6478 (13260) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8.2¢ | $3.28 | — | -$3.28 | 62% 43576-26505 (70081) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $28.8 | $30.32 | +$1.52 | 65% 124216-66433 (190649) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 47.5¢ | $6.35 | $10 | +$3.65 | 55% 17218-13857 (31075) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 45¢ | $4.73 | — | -$4.73 | 46% 37870-44464 (82334) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $4.5 | — | -$4.5 | 52% 89352-83806 (173158) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 46¢ | $3.92 | — | -$3.92 | 61% 93901-59012 (152913) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54¢ | $2.7 | — | -$2.7 | 65% 21630-11888 (33518) |
 UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100 | Upavg 5¢ | $0.18 | — | -$0.18 | 63% 51186-30116 (81302) |
Invested
$41.51
Value
—
PnL
-$41.51
Record
51%
6782-6478 (13260)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$3.28
Value
—
PnL
-$3.28
Record
62%
43576-26505 (70081)
Invested
$28.8
Value
$30.32
PnL
+$1.52
Record
65%
124216-66433 (190649)
Invested
$6.35
Value
$10
PnL
+$3.65
Record
55%
17218-13857 (31075)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$4.73
Value
—
PnL
-$4.73
Record
46%
37870-44464 (82334)
Invested
$4.5
Value
—
PnL
-$4.5
Record
52%
89352-83806 (173158)
Invested
$3.92
Value
—
PnL
-$3.92
Record
61%
93901-59012 (152913)
Invested
$2.7
Value
—
PnL
-$2.7
Record
65%
21630-11888 (33518)
UpandDownSyndromeCTR<$100Invested
$0.18
Value
—
PnL
-$0.18
Record
63%
51186-30116 (81302)
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