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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET

Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

9

Up 56%

Total Value

$221.63

Combined PnL

$22.01

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down4 traders

Total Value$221.63

Total Shares222

Combined PnL+$32.41

Up5 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares175

Combined PnL-$10.4

Down — 44%Up — 56%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
PL ply-pm2<$100	Downavg 57.5¢	$36.63	$60.71	+$24.08	51% 6762-6452 (13214)
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100	Downavg 98.9¢	$67.65	$55.06	-$12.49	65% 124010-66298 (190308)
0X 0x50f7<$100	Downavg 99.9¢	$46.09	$46.14	+$0.05	59% 61960-42991 (104951)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Downavg 65.2¢	$38.94	$59.72	+$20.78	57% 69767-53019 (122786)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Upavg 4.5¢	$4.9	—	-$4.9	49% 77541-80829 (158370)
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100	Upavg 44¢	$4.25	—	-$4.25	55% 17202-13832 (31034)
pspspsps5CTR<$100	Upavg 2.2¢	$1.15	—	-$1.15	46% 37858-44441 (82299)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	48% 23052-25114 (48166)
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100	Upavg 1¢	$0.05	—	-$0.05	66% 111532-57780 (169312)

Invested

$36.63

Value

$60.71

PnL

+$24.08

Record

51%

6762-6452 (13214)

drfc4eybh7i8<$100

Invested

$67.65

Value

$55.06

PnL

-$12.49

Record

65%

124010-66298 (190308)

Invested

$46.09

Value

$46.14

PnL

+$0.05

Record

59%

61960-42991 (104951)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$38.94

Value

$59.72

PnL

+$20.78

Record

57%

69767-53019 (122786)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.9

Value

—

PnL

-$4.9

Record

49%

77541-80829 (158370)

Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100

Invested

$4.25

Value

—

PnL

-$4.25

Record

55%

17202-13832 (31034)

pspspsps5CTR<$100

Invested

$1.15

Value

—

PnL

-$1.15

Record

46%

37858-44441 (82299)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

48%

23052-25114 (48166)

antsaslykuCTR<$100

Invested

$0.05

Value

—

PnL

-$0.05

Record

66%

111532-57780 (169312)

Smart Money Signal

Up

5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0x71c5fe1d...7d0c12

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793193300

Traders in this Market

ply-pm2

Down — $60.71

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $55.06

0x50f7

Down — $46.14

uninformedfloww

Down — $59.72

OhioRiskManagement

Up — $0

Kathod-Shi-14

Up — $0

pspspsps5

Up — $0

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $0

antsaslyku

Up — $0

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