Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$244.51
$9.52
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 65.4¢ | $100.91 | $85.97 | -$14.95 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 22.8¢ | $44.67 | — | -$44.67 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 65.4¢ | $56.24 | $85.97 | +$29.73 | |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 94.2¢ | $69.46 | $60.01 | -$9.4 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 82.7¢ | $29.71 | $35.93 | +$6.22 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 13¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 72.6¢ | $15.16 | $20.87 | +$5.71 | 63% 51166-30114 (81280) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 53.8¢ | $11.08 | $20.61 | +$9.53 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $15.84 | $16 | +$0.16 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 16.3¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 41¢ | $2.1 | $5.12 | +$3.02 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
Invested
$100.91
Value
$85.97
PnL
-$14.95
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Both legs:
Invested
$69.46
Value
$60.01
PnL
-$9.4
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
Invested
$29.71
Value
$35.93
PnL
+$6.22
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.16
Value
$20.87
PnL
+$5.71
Record
63%
51166-30114 (81280)
Invested
$11.08
Value
$20.61
PnL
+$9.53
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$15.84
Value
$16
PnL
+$0.16
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$5.12
PnL
+$3.02
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
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