Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$203.42
$18.13
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 88.4¢ | $82.21 | $92.95 | +$10.74 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 76.1¢ | $64.28 | $84.46 | +$20.18 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 7.5¢ | $4.41 | — | -$4.41 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 84.9¢ | $22.08 | $26 | +$3.92 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4.9¢ | $1.91 | — | -$1.91 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100 | Upavg 32.4¢ | $5 | — | -$5 | 64% 113-63 (176) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Upavg 31¢ | $4.56 | — | -$4.56 | 53% 328-291 (619) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 1.9¢ | $0.83 | — | -$0.83 | 59% 61960-42991 (104951) |
Invested
$82.21
Value
$92.95
PnL
+$10.74
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$64.28
Value
$84.46
PnL
+$20.18
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.41
Value
—
PnL
-$4.41
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$22.08
Value
$26
PnL
+$3.92
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.91
Value
—
PnL
-$1.91
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$5
Value
—
PnL
-$5
Record
64%
113-63 (176)
Invested
$4.56
Value
—
PnL
-$4.56
Record
53%
328-291 (619)
Invested
$0.83
Value
—
PnL
-$0.83
Record
59%
61960-42991 (104951)
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