Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET
Resolved Down. 73% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Up 73%
$72.2
-$148.82
Smart Money Signal
8 of 11 top traders (73%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.1¢ | $93.89 | — | -$93.89 | 51% 6762-6452 (13214) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 95¢ | $78.25 | $50 | -$28.25 | 57% 69767-53019 (122786) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 79.1¢ | $17.23 | $17.2 | +$3.93 | 65% 124010-66298 (190308) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 11.3¢ | $19.58 | — | -$19.58 | 49% 77541-80829 (158370) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 52% 89316-83776 (173092) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 61% 93853-58992 (152845) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $6.9 | — | -$6.9 | 46% 37858-44441 (82299) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $3.1 | — | -$3.1 | 65% 21587-11860 (33447) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Downavg 38¢ | $1.9 | $5 | +$3.1 | 55% 17202-13832 (31034) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $1.92 | — | -$1.92 | 62% 43572-26500 (70072) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111532-57780 (169312) |
Invested
$93.89
Value
—
PnL
-$93.89
Record
51%
6762-6452 (13214)
Invested
$78.25
Value
$50
PnL
-$28.25
Record
57%
69767-53019 (122786)
Invested
$17.23
Value
$17.2
PnL
+$3.93
Record
65%
124010-66298 (190308)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$19.58
Value
—
PnL
-$19.58
Record
49%
77541-80829 (158370)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
52%
89316-83776 (173092)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
61%
93853-58992 (152845)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$6.9
Value
—
PnL
-$6.9
Record
46%
37858-44441 (82299)
Invested
$3.1
Value
—
PnL
-$3.1
Record
65%
21587-11860 (33447)
Invested
$1.9
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.1
Record
55%
17202-13832 (31034)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1.92
Value
—
PnL
-$1.92
Record
62%
43572-26500 (70072)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111532-57780 (169312)
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