Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET
Resolved Up. 64% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
11
Down 64%
$68.06
-$21.28
Smart Money Signal
7 of 11 top traders (64%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 33.4¢ | $13.13 | $39.26 | +$26.13 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 31.8¢ | $5.45 | $14.62 | +$9.17 | 46% 37841-44422 (82263) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 99¢ | $9.08 | $9.17 | +$0.09 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 57.3¢ | $10.44 | — | -$10.44 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 28.2¢ | $26.24 | — | -$26.24 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 65.2¢ | $7.59 | — | -$7.59 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 68.2¢ | $7.59 | — | -$7.59 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Downavg 55¢ | $2.95 | — | -$2.95 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100 | Upavg 34¢ | $1.7 | $5 | +$3.3 | 48% 23042-25099 (48141) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 58¢ | $2.9 | — | -$2.9 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 18¢ | $3.06 | — | -$2.26 | 65% 124007-66294 (190301) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$13.13
Value
$39.26
PnL
+$26.13
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$5.45
Value
$14.62
PnL
+$9.17
Record
46%
37841-44422 (82263)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.08
Value
$9.17
PnL
+$0.09
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
Invested
$10.44
Value
—
PnL
-$10.44
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$26.24
Value
—
PnL
-$26.24
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Invested
$7.59
Value
—
PnL
-$7.59
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$7.59
Value
—
PnL
-$7.59
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$2.95
Value
—
PnL
-$2.95
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$1.7
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.3
Record
48%
23042-25099 (48141)
Invested
$2.9
Value
—
PnL
-$2.9
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
Invested
$3.06
Value
—
PnL
-$2.26
Record
65%
124007-66294 (190301)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $39.26
pspspsps5
Up — $14.62
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $9.17
aaa221
CTRDown — $0
ply-pm2
CTRDown — $0
dvasdkasodk
CTRDown — $0
asidjasiodja
CTRDown — $0
Kathod-Shi-14
CTRDown — $0
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
Up — $5
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0