Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
8
Down 50%
1 arb excluded
$121.94
$5.87
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 21.1¢ | $61.81 | $51.71 | -$10.1 | 51% 6745-6431 (13176) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 58.4¢ | $30.22 | $51.71 | +$21.49 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 21.1¢ | $31.59 | — | -$31.59 | |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 65.9¢ | $32.03 | $42.47 | +$10.44 | 49% 77513-80805 (158318) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 77.7¢ | $13.36 | $17.19 | +$3.83 | 63% 51142-30102 (81244) |
 BoneOhioCTR<$100 | Upavg 29¢ | $5.92 | — | -$5.92 | 74% 102112-36306 (138418) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $5.16 | $6.07 | +$0.91 | 61% 93803-58969 (152772) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 30¢ | $2.14 | — | -$2.14 | 52% 89283-83737 (173020) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14CTR<$100 | Upavg 35¢ | $1.8 | — | -$1.8 | 55% 17200-13832 (31032) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 64¢ | $2.88 | $4.5 | +$1.62 | 65% 21538-11836 (33374) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 27¢ | $1.07 | — | -$1.07 | 66% 111508-57758 (169266) |
Invested
$61.81
Value
$51.71
PnL
-$10.1
Record
51%
6745-6431 (13176)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$32.03
Value
$42.47
PnL
+$10.44
Record
49%
77513-80805 (158318)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$13.36
Value
$17.19
PnL
+$3.83
Record
63%
51142-30102 (81244)
BoneOhioCTR<$100Invested
$5.92
Value
—
PnL
-$5.92
Record
74%
102112-36306 (138418)
Invested
$5.16
Value
$6.07
PnL
+$0.91
Record
61%
93803-58969 (152772)
Invested
$2.14
Value
—
PnL
-$2.14
Record
52%
89283-83737 (173020)
Invested
$1.8
Value
—
PnL
-$1.8
Record
55%
17200-13832 (31032)
Invested
$2.88
Value
$4.5
PnL
+$1.62
Record
65%
21538-11836 (33374)
Invested
$1.07
Value
—
PnL
-$1.07
Record
66%
111508-57758 (169266)
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