Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET
Resolved Up. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
7
Up 57%
1 arb excluded
$206.33
$26.7
Smart Money Signal
4 of 7 top traders (57%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 29.7Β’ | $90.02 | $68.43 | -$21.58 | 51% 6717-6412 (13129) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 57.5Β’ | $39.35 | $68.43 | +$29.08 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 29.7Β’ | $50.66 | β | -$50.66 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 71.3Β’ | $77.28 | $108.38 | +$31.1 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 73.8Β’ | $19.29 | $22.2 | +$2.91 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
![]() OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.2Β’ | $8.16 | β | -$8.16 | 49% 77489-80776 (158265) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 26Β’ | $1.3 | β | -$1.3 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
![]() pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 16Β’ | $0.77 | β | -$0.77 | 46% 37827-44398 (82225) |
![]() BoneOhio<$100 | Upavg 99Β’ | $2.3 | $2.32 | +$0.02 | 74% 102108-36301 (138409) |
KA Kathod-Shi-14<$100 | Upavg 42Β’ | $2.1 | $5 | +$2.9 | 55% 17200-13831 (31031) |
Invested
$90.02
Value
$68.43
PnL
-$21.58
Record
51%
6717-6412 (13129)
Both legs:
Invested
$77.28
Value
$108.38
PnL
+$31.1
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
Invested
$19.29
Value
$22.2
PnL
+$2.91
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$8.16
Value
β
PnL
-$8.16
Record
49%
77489-80776 (158265)
Invested
$1.3
Value
β
PnL
-$1.3
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.77
Value
β
PnL
-$0.77
Record
46%
37827-44398 (82225)
BoneOhio<$100Invested
$2.3
Value
$2.32
PnL
+$0.02
Record
74%
102108-36301 (138409)
Invested
$2.1
Value
$5
PnL
+$2.9
Record
55%
17200-13831 (31031)
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