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OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100DownUpDownUpDown
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Resolved Up. 60% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
5
Down 60%
Total Value
$30.05
Combined PnL
-$3.28
Smart Money Signal
Down
3 of 5 top traders (60%)3 hold an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares74
Combined PnL-$4.59
Up2 traders
Total Value$30.05
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$1.3
Down — 60%Up — 40%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 7.8¢ | $4.3 | — | -$4.3 | 49% 77489-80776 (158265) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $24 | $25 | +$1 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Downavg 1.3¢ | $0.24 | — | -$0.24 | 48% 23018-25090 (48108) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 94¢ | $4.75 | $5.05 | +$0.3 | 61% 93762-58955 (152717) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.04 | — | -$0.04 | 51% 6717-6412 (13129) |
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$4.3
Value
—
PnL
-$4.3
Record
49%
77489-80776 (158265)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$24
Value
$25
PnL
+$1
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100Invested
$0.24
Value
—
PnL
-$0.24
Record
48%
23018-25090 (48108)
AS
asidjasiodja<$100Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.05
PnL
+$0.3
Record
61%
93762-58955 (152717)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$0.04
Value
—
PnL
-$0.04
Record
51%
6717-6412 (13129)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xc3416030...054831
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793182800