Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$20.82
-$68.68
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 16.6¢ | $14.63 | — | -$14.63 | 51% 6717-6412 (13129) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $40.13 | — | -$40.13 | 68% 98729-47027 (145756) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 80¢ | $24.71 | $18 | -$6.71 | 49% 77489-80776 (158265) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $3.68 | — | -$3.68 | 61% 93762-58955 (152717) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $3.12 | — | -$3.12 | 58% 50755-36877 (87632) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 32¢ | $1.98 | — | -$1.98 | 52% 89240-83721 (172961) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 42.4¢ | $1.2 | $2.82 | +$1.62 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111485-57735 (169220) |
Invested
$14.63
Value
—
PnL
-$14.63
Record
51%
6717-6412 (13129)
Invested
$40.13
Value
—
PnL
-$40.13
Record
68%
98729-47027 (145756)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$24.71
Value
$18
PnL
-$6.71
Record
49%
77489-80776 (158265)
Invested
$3.68
Value
—
PnL
-$3.68
Record
61%
93762-58955 (152717)
Invested
$3.12
Value
—
PnL
-$3.12
Record
58%
50755-36877 (87632)
Invested
$1.98
Value
—
PnL
-$1.98
Record
52%
89240-83721 (172961)
Invested
$1.2
Value
$2.82
PnL
+$1.62
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111485-57735 (169220)
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