Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 75%
$58.32
-$26.49
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 86.1¢ | $36.6 | $42.5 | +$5.9 | 57% 69652-52957 (122609) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 21.6¢ | $24.81 | — | -$24.81 | 51% 6717-6412 (13129) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 85¢ | $16.38 | $15.82 | -$0.56 | 65% 21488-11804 (33292) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 11¢ | $2.75 | — | -$2.75 | 49% 77489-80776 (158265) |
 G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100 | Upavg 2.9¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 62% 43563-26490 (70053) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6.5¢ | $2.09 | — | -$2.09 | 46% 37827-44398 (82225) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.12 | — | -$1.12 | 59% 61948-42961 (104909) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $0.05 | — | -$0.05 | 66% 111485-57735 (169220) |
Invested
$36.6
Value
$42.5
PnL
+$5.9
Record
57%
69652-52957 (122609)
Invested
$24.81
Value
—
PnL
-$24.81
Record
51%
6717-6412 (13129)
Invested
$16.38
Value
$15.82
PnL
-$0.56
Record
65%
21488-11804 (33292)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$2.75
Value
—
PnL
-$2.75
Record
49%
77489-80776 (158265)
G-Penis-MonsterCTR<$100Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
62%
43563-26490 (70053)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.09
Value
—
PnL
-$2.09
Record
46%
37827-44398 (82225)
Invested
$1.12
Value
—
PnL
-$1.12
Record
59%
61948-42961 (104909)
Invested
$0.05
Value
—
PnL
-$0.05
Record
66%
111485-57735 (169220)
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