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Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET

Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.

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RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

8

Up 75%

1 arb excluded

Total Value

$831.25

Combined PnL

$43.3

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%

Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up6 traders

Total Value$678.72

Total Shares679

Combined PnL+$49.3

Down2 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares19

Combined PnL-$6

Up — 75%Down — 25%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
BoneOhio	Upavg 99¢	$495.89	$500.9	+$5.01	74% 102096-36299 (138395)
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100	Upavg 43.6¢	$122.2	$152.54	+$30.34	51% 6701-6393 (13094)
└ Down leg	Downavg 23.2¢	$55.64	—	-$55.64
└ Up leg	Upavg 43.6¢	$66.56	$152.54	+$85.98
MayorMamdani	Upavg 76.1¢	$88.93	$109.24	+$20.31	55% 43943-36416 (80359)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100	Upavg 66¢	$16.5	$25	+$8.5	48% 23010-25080 (48090)
UN uninformedfloww<$100	Upavg 65.9¢	$16.1	$24.44	+$8.34	57% 69604-52928 (122532)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100	Downavg 39.2¢	$4.8	—	-$4.8	49% 77469-80748 (158217)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100	Upavg 50.8¢	$6.12	$12.05	+$5.93	63% 51064-30076 (81140)
DV dvasdkasodk<$100	Upavg 83¢	$5.88	$7.08	+$1.2	52% 89215-83682 (172897)
AA aaa221CTR<$100	Downavg 17¢	$1.2	—	-$1.2	65% 21441-11773 (33214)

Invested

$495.89

Value

$500.9

PnL

+$5.01

Record

74%

102096-36299 (138395)

ply-pm2ARB<$100

Invested

$122.2

Value

$152.54

PnL

+$30.34

Record

51%

6701-6393 (13094)

Both legs:

Down$55.6423.2¢-$55.64

Up$66.5643.6¢+$85.98

Invested

$88.93

Value

$109.24

PnL

+$20.31

Record

55%

43943-36416 (80359)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507<$100

Invested

$16.5

Value

$25

PnL

+$8.5

Record

48%

23010-25080 (48090)

uninformedfloww<$100

Invested

$16.1

Value

$24.44

PnL

+$8.34

Record

57%

69604-52928 (122532)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100

Invested

$4.8

Value

—

PnL

-$4.8

Record

49%

77469-80748 (158217)

UpandDownSyndrome<$100

Invested

$6.12

Value

$12.05

PnL

+$5.93

Record

63%

51064-30076 (81140)

dvasdkasodk<$100

Invested

$5.88

Value

$7.08

PnL

+$1.2

Record

52%

89215-83682 (172897)

Invested

$1.2

Value

—

PnL

-$1.2

Record

65%

21441-11773 (33214)

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 8 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

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Market Info

Condition ID

0xbd22d9ac...3efb12

Slug

sol-updown-5m-1793174700

Traders in this Market

BoneOhio

Up — $500.9

ply-pm2

Arbitrage — excluded

MayorMamdani

Up — $109.24

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

Up — $25

uninformedfloww

Up — $24.44

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $0

UpandDownSyndrome

Up — $12.05

dvasdkasodk

Up — $7.08

aaa221

Down — $0

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