Consensus Won β
Smart money consensus was Up β and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
π
Won
8
Up 75%
3 arb excluded
$422.09
-$7.6
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 21.4Β’ | $72.09 | $85.77 | +$13.68 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 21.4Β’ | $45.05 | β | -$45.05 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 31.5Β’ | $27.04 | $85.77 | +$58.72 | |
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 32.2Β’ | $63.57 | $100.6 | +$37.03 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
| β Down leg | Downavg 23.3Β’ | $31.14 | β | -$31.14 | |
| β Up leg | Upavg 32.2Β’ | $32.43 | $100.6 | +$68.17 | |
![]() OhioRiskManagementARB<$100 | Downavg 71.1Β’ | $54.35 | $78.17 | +$23.82 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
| β Up leg | Upavg 34.1Β’ | $26.64 | $78.17 | +$51.53 | |
| β Down leg | Downavg 71.1Β’ | $27.71 | β | -$27.71 | |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 70.6Β’ | $37 | β | -$37 | 66% 111454-57709 (169163) |
![]() pspspsps5<$100 | Upavg 84.2Β’ | $48.18 | $55.43 | +$7.25 | 46% 37814-44371 (82185) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 65.8Β’ | $51.34 | $55.27 | +$9.49 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Upavg 74Β’ | $17.34 | $22.09 | +$4.75 | 66% 124340-64008 (188348) |
![]() MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 55Β’ | $5.6 | $10.18 | +$4.58 | 55% 43943-36416 (80359) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Upavg 59.8Β’ | $5.5 | $9.2 | +$3.7 | 61% 93726-58934 (152660) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Upavg 88.2Β’ | $4.75 | $5.38 | +$0.63 | 52% 89215-83682 (172897) |
PB PBot-6CTR<$100 | Downavg 50Β’ | $1 | β | -$1 | 58% 50745-36872 (87617) |
Invested
$72.09
Value
$85.77
PnL
+$13.68
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
Both legs:
Invested
$63.57
Value
$100.6
PnL
+$37.03
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
Both legs:
OhioRiskManagementARB<$100Invested
$54.35
Value
$78.17
PnL
+$23.82
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
Both legs:
Invested
$37
Value
β
PnL
-$37
Record
66%
111454-57709 (169163)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$48.18
Value
$55.43
PnL
+$7.25
Record
46%
37814-44371 (82185)
Invested
$51.34
Value
$55.27
PnL
+$9.49
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
Invested
$17.34
Value
$22.09
PnL
+$4.75
Record
66%
124340-64008 (188348)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5.6
Value
$10.18
PnL
+$4.58
Record
55%
43943-36416 (80359)
Invested
$5.5
Value
$9.2
PnL
+$3.7
Record
61%
93726-58934 (152660)
Invested
$4.75
Value
$5.38
PnL
+$0.63
Record
52%
89215-83682 (172897)
Invested
$1
Value
β
PnL
-$1
Record
58%
50745-36872 (87617)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage β excluded
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage β excluded

OhioRiskManagement
ARBArbitrage β excluded
antsaslyku
CTRDown β $0

pspspsps5
Up β $55.43
aaa221
Up β $55.27
asdaefef
Up β $22.09

MayorMamdani
Up β $10.18
asidjasiodja
Up β $9.2
dvasdkasodk
Up β $5.38