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UpUpUp
OhioRiskManagement<$100Down
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Down
pspspsps5CTR<$100Up
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Up 67%
Total Value
$22.4
Combined PnL
-$160.83
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares428
Combined PnL-$163.26
Down2 traders
Total Value$22.4
Total Shares22
Combined PnL+$2.43
Up — 67%Down — 33%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 16.4¢ | $85.5 | — | -$85.5 | 51% 6701-6393 (13094) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 69.1¢ | $47.25 | — | -$47.25 | 57% 69604-52928 (122532) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 54.6¢ | $33.8 | — | -$30.43 | 65% 21441-11773 (33214) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 63.5¢ | $10.82 | $13.11 | +$2.29 | 49% 77469-80748 (158217) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 98.5¢ | $9.15 | $9.29 | +$0.14 | 63% 51064-30076 (81140) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 8¢ | $0.09 | — | -$0.09 | 46% 37814-44371 (82185) |
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$85.5
Value
—
PnL
-$85.5
Record
51%
6701-6393 (13094)
UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100Invested
$47.25
Value
—
PnL
-$47.25
Record
57%
69604-52928 (122532)
AA
aaa221CTR<$100Invested
$33.8
Value
—
PnL
-$30.43
Record
65%
21441-11773 (33214)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$10.82
Value
$13.11
PnL
+$2.29
Record
49%
77469-80748 (158217)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$9.15
Value
$9.29
PnL
+$0.14
Record
63%
51064-30076 (81140)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.09
Value
—
PnL
-$0.09
Record
46%
37814-44371 (82185)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x0c7fe052...031560
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793172900