Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET
Resolved Up. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Down 75%
$48.37
-$60.57
Smart Money Signal
6 of 8 top traders (75%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Downavg 41.2¢ | $42.67 | — | -$42.67 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
0X 0xb55fa1296E6ec55D0cE53d93B9237389f11764d4-1777575277609CTR<$100 | Downavg 31.3¢ | $20.76 | — | -$20.76 | 68% 98678-46986 (145664) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 68.6¢ | $22.62 | $31.1 | +$8.48 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $3.45 | — | -$3.45 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Downavg 40.5¢ | $8.2 | — | -$8.2 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
AN antsaslyku<$100 | Upavg 57.9¢ | $10 | $17.27 | +$7.27 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 12.4¢ | $1.05 | — | -$1.05 | 66% 124265-63963 (188228) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $0.2 | — | -$0.2 | 46% 37796-44311 (82107) |
Invested
$42.67
Value
—
PnL
-$42.67
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Invested
$20.76
Value
—
PnL
-$20.76
Record
68%
98678-46986 (145664)
Invested
$22.62
Value
$31.1
PnL
+$8.48
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$3.45
Value
—
PnL
-$3.45
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$8.2
Value
—
PnL
-$8.2
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
Invested
$10
Value
$17.27
PnL
+$7.27
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
Invested
$1.05
Value
—
PnL
-$1.05
Record
66%
124265-63963 (188228)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.2
Value
—
PnL
-$0.2
Record
46%
37796-44311 (82107)
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