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DownUpUpUpDown
OhioRiskManagement<$100DownUp
Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
Resolved Down. 57% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
7
Up 57%
Total Value
$154.5
Combined PnL
-$115.59
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 7 top traders (57%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up0%
Down100%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Down3 traders
Total Value$154.5
Total Shares154
Combined PnL+$6.76
Up4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares295
Combined PnL-$122.34
Down — 43%Up — 57%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 64.9¢ | $92.71 | $108.86 | +$16.15 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100 | Upavg 67.4¢ | $50 | — | -$50 | 64% 109-62 (171) |
OX oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100 | Upavg 68.1¢ | $48.67 | — | -$48.67 | 53% 315-282 (597) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 28.8¢ | $21.73 | — | -$21.73 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 91.2¢ | $47.36 | $31.64 | -$11.79 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Downavg 70¢ | $11.6 | $14 | +$2.4 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $1.94 | — | -$1.94 | 59% 61913-42908 (104821) |
UN
uninformedflowwInvested
$92.71
Value
$108.86
PnL
+$16.15
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
0X
0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192CTR<$100Invested
$50
Value
—
PnL
-$50
Record
64%
109-62 (171)
OX
oxe78sh4w98CTR<$100Invested
$48.67
Value
—
PnL
-$48.67
Record
53%
315-282 (597)
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100Invested
$21.73
Value
—
PnL
-$21.73
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$47.36
Value
$31.64
PnL
-$11.79
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$11.6
Value
$14
PnL
+$2.4
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
0X
0x50f7CTR<$100Invested
$1.94
Value
—
PnL
-$1.94
Record
59%
61913-42908 (104821)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x6ad50d77...4730d7
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793163000