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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET

Resolved Down. 55% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

11

Up 55%

Total Value

$148.7

Combined PnL

-$117.12

Smart Money Signal

Up

6 of 11 top traders (55%)6 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down5 traders
Total Value$148.7
Total Shares149
Combined PnL+$25.56
Up6 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares365
Combined PnL-$142.68
Down — 45%Up — 55%
UpandDownSyndrome<$100
Down

Invested

$60.87

Value

$61.48

PnL

+$0.61

Record

63%

50924-30036 (80960)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR
Up

Invested

$109.72

Value

—

PnL

-$109.72

Record

57%

69319-52768 (122087)

AA
aaa221<$100
Down

Invested

$48.12

Value

$24.64

PnL

-$22.78

Record

65%

21160-11608 (32768)

OhioRiskManagement<$100
Down

Invested

$7.36

Value

$44.5

PnL

+$37.14

Record

49%

77370-80568 (157938)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$12.71

Value

—

PnL

-$12.71

Record

51%

6623-6322 (12945)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$2.76

Value

—

PnL

-$2.76

Record

52%

89153-83609 (172762)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$5.99

Value

—

PnL

-$5.99

Record

59%

61913-42908 (104821)

MayorMamdani<$100
Down

Invested

$6.93

Value

$11

PnL

+$4.07

Record

55%

43897-36336 (80233)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$6.51

Value

—

PnL

-$6.51

Record

66%

124265-63963 (188228)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$0.57

Value

$7.08

PnL

+$6.51

Record

46%

37796-44311 (82107)

AN
antsaslykuCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.99

Value

—

PnL

-$4.99

Record

66%

111403-57662 (169065)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x18a3d4dc...e3de38
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793162700

Traders in this Market

UpandDownSyndrome

Down — $61.48

+$0.61
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$109.72
AA

aaa221

Down — $24.64

-$22.78

OhioRiskManagement

Down — $44.5

+$37.14
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$12.71
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$2.76
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$5.99

MayorMamdani

Down — $11

+$4.07
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Up — $0

-$6.51

pspspsps5

Down — $7.08

+$6.51
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