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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET

Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.

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RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

12

Down 67%

Total Value

$252.12

Combined PnL

$37.86

Smart Money Signal

Down

8 of 12 top traders (67%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%12 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
Loading chart data…

Outcome Probabilities

Up100%
Down0%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up4 traders
Total Value$252.12
Total Shares252
Combined PnL+$81.5
Down8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares238
Combined PnL-$43.64
Up — 33%Down — 67%
AA
aaa221<$100
Up

Invested

$55.65

Value

$59.99

PnL

+$7.4

Record

65%

21160-11608 (32768)

0X
0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192<$100
Up

Invested

$50

Value

$86.49

PnL

+$36.49

Record

64%

109-62 (171)

OX
oxe78sh4w98<$100
Up

Invested

$46.78

Value

$80.64

PnL

+$33.86

Record

53%

315-282 (597)

PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$26.21

Value

—

PnL

-$26.21

Record

51%

6623-6322 (12945)

UN
uninformedfloww<$100
Up

Invested

$21.25

Value

$25

PnL

+$3.75

Record

57%

69319-52768 (122087)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3.69

Value

—

PnL

-$3.69

Record

59%

61913-42908 (104821)

OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$4.34

Value

—

PnL

-$4.34

Record

49%

77370-80568 (157938)

AS
asdaefefCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$2.61

Value

—

PnL

-$2.61

Record

66%

124265-63963 (188228)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.68

Value

—

PnL

-$1.68

Record

52%

89153-83609 (172762)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$3

Value

—

PnL

-$3

Record

55%

43897-36336 (80233)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Down

Invested

$1.56

Value

—

PnL

-$1.56

Record

61%

93655-58890 (152545)

pspspsps5CTR<$100
Down

Invested

$0.54

Value

—

PnL

-$0.54

Record

46%

37796-44311 (82107)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x7700727d...404962
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793162400

Traders in this Market

AA

aaa221

Up — $59.99

+$7.4
0X

0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192

Up — $86.49

+$36.49
OX

oxe78sh4w98

Up — $80.64

+$33.86
PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Down — $0

-$26.21
UN

uninformedfloww

Up — $25

+$3.75
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Down — $0

-$3.69

OhioRiskManagement

CTR

Down — $0

-$4.34
AS

asdaefef

CTR

Down — $0

-$2.61
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Down — $0

-$1.68

MayorMamdani

CTR

Down — $0

-$3
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