Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Resolved Up. 86% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 80%
2 arb excluded
$284.59
$17.83
Smart Money Signal
6 of 7 top traders (86%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 72.6¢ | $129.03 | $107.27 | -$21.76 | 57% 69319-52768 (122087) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 72.6¢ | $77.83 | $107.27 | +$29.44 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 55.1¢ | $51.2 | — | -$51.2 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 43.8¢ | $67.57 | $128.26 | +$60.69 | 51% 6623-6322 (12945) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 43.8¢ | $56.19 | $128.26 | +$72.06 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 20.1¢ | $11.37 | — | -$11.37 | |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 95¢ | $30.38 | $31.98 | +$1.6 | 65% 21160-11608 (32768) |
AN antsaslykuCTR<$100 | Downavg 39.2¢ | $7.38 | — | -$7.38 | 66% 111403-57662 (169065) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 50¢ | $5 | $10 | +$5 | 55% 43897-36336 (80233) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 96¢ | $4.59 | $4.78 | +$0.19 | 63% 50924-30036 (80960) |
 OhioRiskManagement<$100 | Upavg 65¢ | $1.5 | $2.3 | +$0.8 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
0X 0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192<$100 | Upavg 79.8¢ | $50 | $0.01 | +$9.49 | 64% 109-62 (171) |
OX oxe78sh4w98<$100 | Upavg 80.9¢ | $48.71 | — | +$8.12 | 53% 315-282 (597) |
Invested
$129.03
Value
$107.27
PnL
-$21.76
Record
57%
69319-52768 (122087)
Both legs:
Invested
$67.57
Value
$128.26
PnL
+$60.69
Record
51%
6623-6322 (12945)
Both legs:
Invested
$30.38
Value
$31.98
PnL
+$1.6
Record
65%
21160-11608 (32768)
Invested
$7.38
Value
—
PnL
-$7.38
Record
66%
111403-57662 (169065)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$5
Value
$10
PnL
+$5
Record
55%
43897-36336 (80233)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$4.59
Value
$4.78
PnL
+$0.19
Record
63%
50924-30036 (80960)
OhioRiskManagement<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
$2.3
PnL
+$0.8
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
Invested
$50
Value
$0.01
PnL
+$9.49
Record
64%
109-62 (171)
Invested
$48.71
Value
—
PnL
+$8.12
Record
53%
315-282 (597)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
aaa221
Up — $31.98
antsaslyku
CTRDown — $0
MayorMamdani
Up — $10
UpandDownSyndrome
Up — $4.78
OhioRiskManagement
Up — $2.3
0xde5d9a7dce9faf8df086c066b698375c1d2d9192
Up — $0.01
oxe78sh4w98
Up — $0