Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 28, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET
Resolved Down. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
9
Down 67%
2 arb excluded
$234.82
$37.65
Smart Money Signal
6 of 9 top traders (67%)2 arbitrage traders dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedflowwARB<$100 | Upavg 92.3¢ | $91.07 | $97.96 | +$6.89 | 57% 69318-52757 (122075) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 92.3¢ | $52.17 | — | -$52.17 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 39.7¢ | $38.91 | $97.96 | +$59.06 | |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 20.6¢ | $92.62 | $39.18 | -$53.45 | 51% 6607-6303 (12910) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 69.8¢ | $27.35 | $39.18 | +$11.83 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 20.6¢ | $65.28 | — | -$65.28 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 83.5¢ | $27.3 | $30.92 | +$3.62 | 63% 50900-30030 (80930) |
 OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $7.4 | — | -$7.4 | 49% 77370-80568 (157938) |
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 4¢ | $1.2 | $30 | +$28.8 | 46% 37786-44290 (82076) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 71¢ | $6.94 | — | -$6.94 | 65% 21119-11585 (32704) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 50.1¢ | $10.9 | $21.76 | +$10.86 | 55% 43879-36307 (80186) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $2.45 | $4.35 | +$1.9 | 52% 89117-83588 (172705) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 31¢ | $1.75 | $5.65 | +$3.9 | 66% 124228-63947 (188175) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 33¢ | $1.65 | $5 | +$3.35 | 61% 93625-58870 (152495) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 44¢ | $0.44 | — | -$0.44 | 56% 57474-44398 (101872) |
Invested
$91.07
Value
$97.96
PnL
+$6.89
Record
57%
69318-52757 (122075)
Both legs:
Invested
$92.62
Value
$39.18
PnL
-$53.45
Record
51%
6607-6303 (12910)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$27.3
Value
$30.92
PnL
+$3.62
Record
63%
50900-30030 (80930)
OhioRiskManagementCTR<$100Invested
$7.4
Value
—
PnL
-$7.4
Record
49%
77370-80568 (157938)
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$1.2
Value
$30
PnL
+$28.8
Record
46%
37786-44290 (82076)
Invested
$6.94
Value
—
PnL
-$6.94
Record
65%
21119-11585 (32704)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$10.9
Value
$21.76
PnL
+$10.86
Record
55%
43879-36307 (80186)
Invested
$2.45
Value
$4.35
PnL
+$1.9
Record
52%
89117-83588 (172705)
Invested
$1.75
Value
$5.65
PnL
+$3.9
Record
66%
124228-63947 (188175)
Invested
$1.65
Value
$5
PnL
+$3.35
Record
61%
93625-58870 (152495)
Invested
$0.44
Value
—
PnL
-$0.44
Record
56%
57474-44398 (101872)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
uninformedfloww
ARBArbitrage — excluded
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
UpandDownSyndrome
Down — $30.92
OhioRiskManagement
CTRUp — $0
pspspsps5
Down — $30
aaa221
CTRUp — $0
MayorMamdani
Down — $21.76
dvasdkasodk
Down — $4.35
asdaefef
Down — $5.65
asidjasiodja
Down — $5