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Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Down — but Up won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 67% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was wrong.
RESOLVED
💀
Lost
Consensus Traders
6
Down 67%
Total Value
$52.72
Combined PnL
$1.09
Smart Money Signal
Down
4 of 6 top traders (67%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up2 traders
Total Value$52.72
Total Shares53
Combined PnL+$11.76
Down4 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares27
Combined PnL-$10.67
Up — 33%Down — 67%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Upavg 43¢ | $12.94 | $20 | +$7.06 | 51% 6588-6273 (12861) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 85.6¢ | $28.02 | $32.72 | +$4.7 | 65% 21073-11552 (32625) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 61% 93594-58851 (152445) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 14¢ | $1.4 | — | -$1.4 | 52% 89083-83565 (172648) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 30¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 66% 124187-63928 (188115) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 22¢ | $7.2 | — | -$6.27 | 65% 123904-66250 (190154) |
PL
ply-pm2<$100Invested
$12.94
Value
$20
PnL
+$7.06
Record
51%
6588-6273 (12861)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$28.02
Value
$32.72
PnL
+$4.7
Record
65%
21073-11552 (32625)
AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
61%
93594-58851 (152445)
DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100Invested
$1.4
Value
—
PnL
-$1.4
Record
52%
89083-83565 (172648)
AS
asdaefefCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
66%
124187-63928 (188115)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$7.2
Value
—
PnL
-$6.27
Record
65%
123904-66250 (190154)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0x19ec03c1...2bb96b
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793151900