Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$66.89
$7.27
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 87.4¢ | $26.1 | $29.85 | +$3.75 | 65% 123790-66202 (189992) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 92¢ | $18.4 | $20 | +$1.6 | 65% 20906-11464 (32370) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 61¢ | $10.4 | $17.04 | +$6.64 | 51% 6507-6200 (12707) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.52 | — | -$0.52 | 59% 61860-42827 (104687) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.6 | — | -$1.6 | 52% 88990-83472 (172462) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 15¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 55% 43758-36180 (79938) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 15.8¢ | $1 | — | -$1 | 61% 93493-58782 (152275) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2¢ | $0.1 | — | -$0.1 | 46% 37743-44179 (81922) |
Invested
$26.1
Value
$29.85
PnL
+$3.75
Record
65%
123790-66202 (189992)
Invested
$18.4
Value
$20
PnL
+$1.6
Record
65%
20906-11464 (32370)
Invested
$10.4
Value
$17.04
PnL
+$6.64
Record
51%
6507-6200 (12707)
Invested
$0.52
Value
—
PnL
-$0.52
Record
59%
61860-42827 (104687)
Invested
$1.6
Value
—
PnL
-$1.6
Record
52%
88990-83472 (172462)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
55%
43758-36180 (79938)
Invested
$1
Value
—
PnL
-$1
Record
61%
93493-58782 (152275)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.1
Value
—
PnL
-$0.1
Record
46%
37743-44179 (81922)
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