Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 50%
$59.49
-$3.97
Smart Money Signal
4 of 8 top traders (50%)4 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $2.71 | — | -$2.71 | 46% 37743-44179 (81922) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $29.7 | $30 | +$0.3 | 65% 123790-66202 (189992) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 3¢ | $0.79 | — | -$0.79 | 59% 61860-42827 (104687) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $16.21 | $16.71 | +$0.5 | 65% 20906-11464 (32370) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $11.88 | $12 | +$0.12 | 66% 124076-63863 (187939) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 23¢ | $1.38 | — | -$1.38 | 55% 43758-36180 (79938) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $0.77 | $0.78 | +$0.01 | 61% 93493-58782 (152275) |
PL ply-pm2CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $0.02 | — | -$0.02 | 51% 6507-6200 (12707) |
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.71
Value
—
PnL
-$2.71
Record
46%
37743-44179 (81922)
Invested
$29.7
Value
$30
PnL
+$0.3
Record
65%
123790-66202 (189992)
Invested
$0.79
Value
—
PnL
-$0.79
Record
59%
61860-42827 (104687)
Invested
$16.21
Value
$16.71
PnL
+$0.5
Record
65%
20906-11464 (32370)
Invested
$11.88
Value
$12
PnL
+$0.12
Record
66%
124076-63863 (187939)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$1.38
Value
—
PnL
-$1.38
Record
55%
43758-36180 (79938)
Invested
$0.77
Value
$0.78
PnL
+$0.01
Record
61%
93493-58782 (152275)
Invested
$0.02
Value
—
PnL
-$0.02
Record
51%
6507-6200 (12707)
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