Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 83% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
6
Down 83%
1 arb excluded
$179.24
$62.46
Smart Money Signal
5 of 6 top traders (83%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 60¢ | $59.21 | $42.86 | -$16.35 | 51% 6480-6181 (12661) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 60¢ | $40.86 | — | -$40.86 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42.8¢ | $18.35 | $42.86 | +$24.51 | |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $38.85 | $97.23 | +$58.38 | 57% 69130-52632 (121762) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $19.9 | $14.84 | -$5.06 | 65% 20854-11432 (32286) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 76.3¢ | $8.54 | $11.2 | +$2.66 | 52% 88964-83442 (172406) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 40¢ | $3.12 | $7.8 | +$4.68 | 66% 124038-63844 (187882) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 49¢ | $2.6 | $5.31 | +$2.71 | 61% 93462-58762 (152224) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 2.8¢ | $0.91 | — | -$0.91 | 46% 37728-44154 (81882) |
Invested
$59.21
Value
$42.86
PnL
-$16.35
Record
51%
6480-6181 (12661)
Both legs:
Invested
$38.85
Value
$97.23
PnL
+$58.38
Record
57%
69130-52632 (121762)
Invested
$19.9
Value
$14.84
PnL
-$5.06
Record
65%
20854-11432 (32286)
Invested
$8.54
Value
$11.2
PnL
+$2.66
Record
52%
88964-83442 (172406)
Invested
$3.12
Value
$7.8
PnL
+$4.68
Record
66%
124038-63844 (187882)
Invested
$2.6
Value
$5.31
PnL
+$2.71
Record
61%
93462-58762 (152224)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$0.91
Value
—
PnL
-$0.91
Record
46%
37728-44154 (81882)
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