Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Resolved Down. 71% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Down 71%
1 arb excluded
$210.97
-$31.21
Smart Money Signal
5 of 7 top traders (71%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed2 hold an outcome priced under 50%7 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 25.7¢ | $64.09 | $91.33 | +$27.24 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 27.3¢ | $24.95 | $91.33 | +$66.38 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 25.7¢ | $39.14 | — | -$39.14 | |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 71.4¢ | $43.05 | — | -$40.25 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 68.9¢ | $35.07 | $41.29 | +$6.22 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
 MayorMamdani<$100 | Downavg 69.7¢ | $28.45 | $40.81 | +$12.36 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 86.3¢ | $18.18 | $21.06 | +$2.88 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $26.1 | — | -$26.1 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.47 | $8.65 | +$7.18 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 17¢ | $1.33 | $7.82 | +$6.49 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
Invested
$64.09
Value
$91.33
PnL
+$27.24
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Both legs:
Invested
$43.05
Value
—
PnL
-$40.25
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Invested
$35.07
Value
$41.29
PnL
+$6.22
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$28.45
Value
$40.81
PnL
+$12.36
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$18.18
Value
$21.06
PnL
+$2.88
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
Invested
$26.1
Value
—
PnL
-$26.1
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$1.47
Value
$8.65
PnL
+$7.18
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$1.33
Value
$7.82
PnL
+$6.49
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.