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Down
MayorMamdani<$100Up
UpandDownSyndrome<$100UpUpDownUp
Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
Resolved Up. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
RESOLVED
🏆
Won
Consensus Traders
5
Up 80%
1 arb excluded
Total Value
$233.17
Combined PnL
$11.07
Smart Money Signal
Up
4 of 5 top traders (80%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed1 holds an outcome priced under 50%5 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities
Up100%
Down0%
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
Up4 traders
Total Value$130.6
Total Shares131
Combined PnL+$35.79
Down1 trader
Total Value$0
Total Shares25
Combined PnL-$24.72
Up — 80%Down — 20%
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 35.1¢ | $167.99 | $102.57 | -$65.43 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 35.1¢ | $110.89 | — | -$110.89 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.7¢ | $57.11 | $102.57 | +$45.46 | |
MayorMamdani<$100 | Upavg 69.5¢ | $38.1 | $46.15 | +$8.05 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 53.9¢ | $19.36 | $34.16 | +$14.8 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Upavg 72.3¢ | $31.41 | $43.46 | +$12.05 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 51.6¢ | $24.72 | — | -$24.72 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Upavg 87¢ | $5.94 | $6.83 | +$0.89 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
PL
ply-pm2ARB<$100Invested
$167.99
Value
$102.57
PnL
-$65.43
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Both legs:
Down$110.8935.1¢-$110.89
Up$57.1155.7¢+$45.46
MayorMamdani<$100Invested
$38.1
Value
$46.15
PnL
+$8.05
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.36
Value
$34.16
PnL
+$14.8
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
UN
uninformedfloww<$100Invested
$31.41
Value
$43.46
PnL
+$12.05
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
DR
drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100Invested
$24.72
Value
—
PnL
-$24.72
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
AA
aaa221<$100Invested
$5.94
Value
$6.83
PnL
+$0.89
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
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Market Info
Condition ID
0xbe79e973...58c814
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793128800