Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET
Resolved Down. 70% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
10
Up 70%
$110.27
-$24.3
Smart Money Signal
7 of 10 top traders (70%)7 hold an outcome priced under 50%10 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 50¢ | $44.79 | $70 | +$25.21 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 83.9¢ | $25.4 | $30.27 | +$4.87 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
UN uninformedflowwCTR<$100 | Upavg 62¢ | $28.85 | — | -$28.85 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 99¢ | $9.9 | $10 | +$0.1 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 4¢ | $1.1 | — | -$1.1 | 46% 37715-44132 (81847) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 47¢ | $2.82 | — | -$2.82 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $5.1 | — | -$5.1 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 59¢ | $13.87 | — | -$12.85 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
0X 0x50f7CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.92 | — | -$0.92 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
Invested
$44.79
Value
$70
PnL
+$25.21
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Invested
$25.4
Value
$30.27
PnL
+$4.87
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$28.85
Value
—
PnL
-$28.85
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$9.9
Value
$10
PnL
+$0.1
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$1.1
Value
—
PnL
-$1.1
Record
46%
37715-44132 (81847)
Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$2.82
Value
—
PnL
-$2.82
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$5.1
Value
—
PnL
-$5.1
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$13.87
Value
—
PnL
-$12.85
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Invested
$0.92
Value
—
PnL
-$0.92
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
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