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Consensus Lost ✗

Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.

Solana Up or Down - October 27, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET

Resolved Down. 80% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.

View on Polymarket
RESOLVED

💀

Lost

Consensus Traders

10

Up 80%

Total Value

$30.25

Combined PnL

-$419.63

Smart Money Signal

Up

8 of 10 top traders (80%)8 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity
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Outcome Probabilities

Up0%
Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Up8 traders
Total Value$0
Total Shares670
Combined PnL-$420.01
Down2 traders
Total Value$30.25
Total Shares30
Combined PnL+$0.37
Up — 80%Down — 20%
PL
ply-pm2CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$69.55

Value

—

PnL

-$69.55

Record

51%

6457-6156 (12613)

UN
uninformedflowwCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$45.14

Value

—

PnL

-$45.14

Record

57%

69092-52584 (121676)

AA
aaa221CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$43.82

Value

—

PnL

-$43.82

Record

65%

20812-11390 (32202)

pspspsps5<$100
Down

Invested

$23.02

Value

$23.25

PnL

+$0.23

Record

46%

37715-44132 (81847)

DR
drfc4eybh7i8<$100
Down

Invested

$6.86

Value

$7

PnL

+$0.14

Record

65%

123715-66149 (189864)

0X
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR
Up

Invested

$250.16

Value

—

PnL

-$250.16

Record

48%

22949-24961 (47910)

MayorMamdaniCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.8

Value

—

PnL

-$3.8

Record

55%

43713-36124 (79837)

AS
asidjasiodjaCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$3.24

Value

—

PnL

-$3.24

Record

61%

93423-58740 (152163)

DV
dvasdkasodkCTR<$100
Up

Invested

$4.05

Value

—

PnL

-$4.05

Record

52%

88930-83410 (172340)

0X
0x50f7CTR<$100
Up

Invested

$0.24

Value

—

PnL

-$0.24

Record

59%

61841-42785 (104626)

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Market Info

Condition ID
0x930bf954...d91b2b
Slug
sol-updown-5m-1793128200

Traders in this Market

PL

ply-pm2

CTR

Up — $0

-$69.55
UN

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$45.14
AA

aaa221

CTR

Up — $0

-$43.82

pspspsps5

Down — $23.25

+$0.23
DR

drfc4eybh7i8

Down — $7

+$0.14
0X

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507

CTR

Up — $0

-$250.16

MayorMamdani

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.8
AS

asidjasiodja

CTR

Up — $0

-$3.24
DV

dvasdkasodk

CTR

Up — $0

-$4.05
0X

0x50f7

CTR

Up — $0

-$0.24
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