Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET
Resolved Down. 63% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
8
Up 63%
$191.84
-$6.39
Smart Money Signal
5 of 8 top traders (63%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%8 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 pspspsps5<$100 | Downavg 97¢ | $86.62 | $89.3 | +$2.68 | 46% 37715-44132 (81847) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 65.2¢ | $76.5 | $72.99 | -$3.51 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 77.5¢ | $22.9 | $29.55 | +$6.65 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 37¢ | $4.53 | — | -$4.53 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.68 | — | -$1.68 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 22¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 22.4¢ | $1.5 | — | -$1.5 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 1¢ | $3 | — | -$3 | 48% 22949-24961 (47910) |
pspspsps5<$100Invested
$86.62
Value
$89.3
PnL
+$2.68
Record
46%
37715-44132 (81847)
Invested
$76.5
Value
$72.99
PnL
-$3.51
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Invested
$22.9
Value
$29.55
PnL
+$6.65
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$4.53
Value
—
PnL
-$4.53
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
Invested
$1.68
Value
—
PnL
-$1.68
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$1.5
Value
—
PnL
-$1.5
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$3
Value
—
PnL
-$3
Record
48%
22949-24961 (47910)
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