Consensus Lost ✗
Smart money consensus was Up — but Down won instead.
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
Resolved Down. 56% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was wrong.
💀
Lost
9
Up 56%
$137.93
-$0.17
Smart Money Signal
5 of 9 top traders (56%)5 hold an outcome priced under 50%9 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
UN uninformedfloww<$100 | Downavg 91.5¢ | $46.69 | $51 | +$4.31 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
PL ply-pm2<$100 | Downavg 82.2¢ | $44 | $40.75 | -$3.24 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $2.6 | — | -$2.6 | 46% 37715-44132 (81847) |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Downavg 95.1¢ | $15.38 | $16.18 | +$0.8 | 63% 50719-29966 (80685) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 81¢ | $24.3 | $30 | +$5.7 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Upavg 61¢ | $3.38 | — | -$3.38 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 MayorMamdaniCTR<$100 | Upavg 6¢ | $0.06 | — | -$0.06 | 55% 43713-36124 (79837) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $1.08 | — | -$1.08 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Upavg 17¢ | $0.62 | — | -$0.62 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
Invested
$46.69
Value
$51
PnL
+$4.31
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$44
Value
$40.75
PnL
-$3.24
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.6
Value
—
PnL
-$2.6
Record
46%
37715-44132 (81847)
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$15.38
Value
$16.18
PnL
+$0.8
Record
63%
50719-29966 (80685)
Invested
$24.3
Value
$30
PnL
+$5.7
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$3.38
Value
—
PnL
-$3.38
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
MayorMamdaniCTR<$100Invested
$0.06
Value
—
PnL
-$0.06
Record
55%
43713-36124 (79837)
Invested
$1.08
Value
—
PnL
-$1.08
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
Invested
$0.62
Value
—
PnL
-$0.62
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
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