Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET
Resolved Down. 75% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
12
Down 75%
1 arb excluded
$483.98
$1.92
Smart Money Signal
9 of 12 top traders (75%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed3 hold an outcome priced under 50%11 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR<$100 | Upavg 42¢ | $75.65 | — | -$75.65 | 48% 22949-24961 (47910) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Downavg 76.2¢ | $77.74 | $73.76 | -$3.99 | 51% 6457-6156 (12613) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 20.6¢ | $21.52 | — | -$21.52 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 76.2¢ | $56.23 | $73.76 | +$17.53 | |
UN uninformedfloww | Downavg 63.3¢ | $81.92 | $129.45 | +$47.53 | 57% 69092-52584 (121676) |
0X 0x50f7<$100 | Downavg 99.9¢ | $40.47 | $39.97 | -$0.5 | 59% 61841-42785 (104626) |
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025<$100 | Downavg 68.6¢ | $51.72 | $75.35 | +$23.62 | 58% 59958-43771 (103729) |
AS asdaefef<$100 | Downavg 83.1¢ | $23.78 | $23.45 | -$0.33 | 66% 123993-63821 (187814) |
 ohioism<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $45.16 | $50.18 | +$5.02 | 64% 39591-22581 (62172) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8<$100 | Downavg 90¢ | $44.16 | $32.5 | -$0.23 | 65% 123715-66149 (189864) |
AS asidjasiodja<$100 | Downavg 80.5¢ | $20.27 | $22.19 | +$1.92 | 61% 93423-58740 (152163) |
DV dvasdkasodk<$100 | Downavg 82.3¢ | $20.53 | $22.14 | +$1.61 | 52% 88930-83410 (172340) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Upavg 19.6¢ | $5.02 | — | -$5.02 | 56% 57395-44340 (101735) |
AA aaa221<$100 | Downavg 80.6¢ | $28.2 | $15 | +$6.6 | 65% 20812-11390 (32202) |
 pspspsps5CTR<$100 | Upavg 19¢ | $2.66 | — | -$2.66 | 46% 37715-44132 (81847) |
Invested
$75.65
Value
—
PnL
-$75.65
Record
48%
22949-24961 (47910)
Invested
$77.74
Value
$73.76
PnL
-$3.99
Record
51%
6457-6156 (12613)
Both legs:
Invested
$81.92
Value
$129.45
PnL
+$47.53
Record
57%
69092-52584 (121676)
Invested
$40.47
Value
$39.97
PnL
-$0.5
Record
59%
61841-42785 (104626)
Invested
$51.72
Value
$75.35
PnL
+$23.62
Record
58%
59958-43771 (103729)
Invested
$23.78
Value
$23.45
PnL
-$0.33
Record
66%
123993-63821 (187814)
ohioism<$100Invested
$45.16
Value
$50.18
PnL
+$5.02
Record
64%
39591-22581 (62172)
Invested
$44.16
Value
$32.5
PnL
-$0.23
Record
65%
123715-66149 (189864)
Invested
$20.27
Value
$22.19
PnL
+$1.92
Record
61%
93423-58740 (152163)
Invested
$20.53
Value
$22.14
PnL
+$1.61
Record
52%
88930-83410 (172340)
Invested
$5.02
Value
—
PnL
-$5.02
Record
56%
57395-44340 (101735)
Invested
$28.2
Value
$15
PnL
+$6.6
Record
65%
20812-11390 (32202)
pspspsps5CTR<$100Invested
$2.66
Value
—
PnL
-$2.66
Record
46%
37715-44132 (81847)
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Market Info
Traders in this Market
0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507
CTRUp — $0
ply-pm2
ARBArbitrage — excluded
uninformedfloww
Down — $129.45
0x50f7
Down — $39.97
0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025
Down — $75.35
asdaefef
Down — $23.45
ohioism
Down — $50.18
drfc4eybh7i8
Down — $32.5
asidjasiodja
Down — $22.19
dvasdkasodk
Down — $22.14