Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Solana Up or Down - October 27, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET
Resolved Up. 29% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
7
Up 29%
1 arb excluded
$295.7
-$59.87
Smart Money Signal
2 of 7 top traders (29%)1 arbitrage trader dimmed5 hold an outcome priced under 50%6 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BoneOhio | Upavg 99¢ | $183.05 | $184.9 | +$1.85 | 74% 101942-36261 (138203) |
PL ply-pm2ARB<$100 | Upavg 27.8¢ | $48.28 | $90.14 | +$41.86 | 51% 6406-6111 (12517) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 12.7¢ | $23.21 | — | -$23.21 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.8¢ | $25.07 | $90.14 | +$65.07 | |
 UpandDownSyndrome<$100 | Upavg 85.4¢ | $19.55 | $20.65 | +$1.1 | 63% 50673-29929 (80602) |
DR drfc4eybh7i8CTR<$100 | Downavg 92.4¢ | $35.35 | — | -$35.35 | 65% 123648-66111 (189759) |
AA aaa221CTR<$100 | Downavg 69.3¢ | $19.59 | — | -$19.59 | 65% 20711-11321 (32032) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $3.7 | — | -$3.7 | 66% 123902-63779 (187681) |
DV dvasdkasodkCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $2.34 | — | -$2.34 | 52% 88881-83328 (172209) |
AS asidjasiodjaCTR<$100 | Downavg 37¢ | $1.85 | — | -$1.85 | 61% 93357-58685 (152042) |
BoneOhioInvested
$183.05
Value
$184.9
PnL
+$1.85
Record
74%
101942-36261 (138203)
Invested
$48.28
Value
$90.14
PnL
+$41.86
Record
51%
6406-6111 (12517)
Both legs:
UpandDownSyndrome<$100Invested
$19.55
Value
$20.65
PnL
+$1.1
Record
63%
50673-29929 (80602)
Invested
$35.35
Value
—
PnL
-$35.35
Record
65%
123648-66111 (189759)
Invested
$19.59
Value
—
PnL
-$19.59
Record
65%
20711-11321 (32032)
Invested
$3.7
Value
—
PnL
-$3.7
Record
66%
123902-63779 (187681)
Invested
$2.34
Value
—
PnL
-$2.34
Record
52%
88881-83328 (172209)
Invested
$1.85
Value
—
PnL
-$1.85
Record
61%
93357-58685 (152042)
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